Serpentine-Speedboat
0x7831666c807acfdbba7cd97bac6dc2aca5c81d01
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$24.11
Total PnL
$-93.03
Realised
$-1.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$1.75
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
17 shares @ 14.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$0.18
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
17 shares @ 36.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.73
$-4.37
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$14.08Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$1.01Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$1.01Jun 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1.01Jun 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$10.09Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.02Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.12Jun 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.03Jun 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$2.01Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.42Jun 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.00Jun 12, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$5.41Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Jun 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$1.03Jun 11, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.