Upright-Existence
0x7cc71ad822525cbc08b7b34bad0427d275608211
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$341.53
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-15.63
Win rate
31%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
320 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$320.00
$92.80
- YES
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.63
$-3.90
- YES
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$0.45
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.47
$-0.15
- NO
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$0.16
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.52
- YES
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
1 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.69
- NO
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.96
$0.02
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$654.42Apr 21, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$544.60Apr 21, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$31.74Apr 21, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$6.24Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$606.96Apr 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEpic Games IPO before 2027?$360.00Apr 13, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$606.96Apr 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$667.44Apr 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$626.78Apr 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.65Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$205.92Apr 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$25.74Apr 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$115.56Apr 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$3.40Apr 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$111.65Apr 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$233.83Apr 12, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$34.71Apr 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$32.56Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$915.90Apr 11, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$208.98Apr 11, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
31/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $265.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.