Fatal-Opponent
0x7ce666b52260984fb5477f00e6f07f38c35539fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.36
Total PnL
$-14.32
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will Florian Wirtz record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.97
$-1.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 26.3¢·now 24.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.77
$-2.23
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 43.4¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4405 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.02May 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.09May 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.11May 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 29, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.03Apr 29, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.10Apr 29, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.60Apr 29, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.10Apr 29, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.11Apr 29, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 29, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.15Apr 29, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.38Apr 26, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.37Apr 26, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.81Apr 25, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 24, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".