Third-Chives
0x7dc45cbeedf6e2330e6b93c6588f16dcfdb7a38d
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$976.74
Realised
$216.00
Win rate
63%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
400 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$399.80
$19.24
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
400 shares @ 74.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$399.80
$101.04
- NO
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
400 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$399.00
$13.63
- NO
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
395 shares @ 89.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$385.32
$31.43
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
600 shares @ 57.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$363.01
$21.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
400 shares @ 52.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$350.00
$140.90
- YES
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?
282 shares @ 55.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$281.00
$123.97
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
400 shares @ 55.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$274.00
$53.56
- NO
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
292 shares @ 71.3¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$242.97
$35.15
- YES
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
400 shares @ 91.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$218.00
$-146.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.22Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Randy Villegas advance from the CA-22 Primary?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$400.00Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$220.97Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.88Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.03Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$290.03Jun 11, 03:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.70Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Reynolds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$33.00Jun 10, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.00Jun 10, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $20.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.