Fatherly-Pet
0x7ed17fece2b8769a8ae7ea505c3714b6b587afcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?
731 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 May 11-17?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FLYQUEST
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?$0.26May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$0.91May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.96May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.95May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.61May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.98May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.84May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.70May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.83May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.89May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$0.90May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.37May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$0.22May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?$0.40May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.95May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.80May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.70May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.91May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.63May 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.05May 16, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.