Parallel-Rowing
0x7ee4fb00851cc4ee0793339fee6858932f06b812
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$83.46
Total PnL
$-242.04
Realised
$-9.78
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.31
$0.31
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
13 shares @ 75.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.21
$1.21
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.06
$5.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.72
$0.72
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
12 shares @ 24.1¢·now 40.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.00
$2.00
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4 shares @ 95.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4 shares @ 88.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$0.26
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
35 shares @ 28.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-7.75
- NO
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.09Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.09Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.11Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$2.11Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.01Jul 14, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.01Jul 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.00Jul 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jul 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jul 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.00Jul 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jul 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.00Jul 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$2.00Jul 14, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.00Jul 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.00Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.