Quintessential-Runner
0x8004574053be2b7e15435898ee54ed0d43d57015
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?
960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 26?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.05Apr 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$1.00Apr 26, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$1.00Apr 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$1.00Apr 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?$1.00Apr 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 26, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?$1.00Apr 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 27?$1.00Apr 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 26, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 22, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.