0x81bcc9d7ff4db2039576e0494595758b533c7a4e
0x81bcc9d7ff4db2039576e0494595758b533c7a4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$202.05
Total PnL
$-95.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$24.75
$-0.04
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$24.12
$-0.67
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$24.01
$-0.78
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
24 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$23.95
$0.01
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$23.93
$-0.86
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
24 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$23.92
$-0.02
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$23.61
$-0.06
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$23.29
$-1.50
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 42.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$10.47
$-14.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
26 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-14.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 17?$24.12Jun 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 17?$24.11Jun 17, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$23.96Jun 16, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$24.11Jun 16, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$23.95Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$23.95Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$23.95Jun 14, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$23.95Jun 14, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$23.93Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?$23.95Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$23.92Jun 13, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$14.79Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$14.78Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$24.17Jun 12, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEM World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$24.17Jun 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$23.95Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $1.0T?$24.21Jun 10, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?$24.21Jun 10, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $1.0T?$23.99Jun 10, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?$23.99Jun 10, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $23.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.