Improbable-Pathway
0x8222370601cc87ead77d01c8b83d67ecbbb1cf41
Quality score
66/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$53.42
Total PnL
$-28.46
Realised
$5.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?
37 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$22.94
$2.05
- YES
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$9.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.97
$0.97
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 17.4¢·now 15.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.15
$-0.24
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
993 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.49
$-6.51
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
421 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.47
$-6.53
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
- LUCIANO DARDERI
BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderi
25 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0015h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- REDEEMOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea$16.467d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva$17.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYBMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderi$5.0010d ago
- TRADESELLPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva$3.2510d ago
- TRADESELLPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva$11.6010d ago
- TRADEBUYPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva$10.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea$15.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- REDEEMBMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton$0.0012d ago
- REDEEMOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Li$0.0012d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.