Private-Disk
0x8246e92bd74fc0602142bd56033995b52397fede
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$112.13
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.76
$-12.24
- NO
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.33
$4.33
- NO
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
15 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.02
$0.02
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$14.02
$1.02
- NO
Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
14 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$13.39
$-0.01
- NO
Kash Patel out by April 30?
14 shares @ 78.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.65
$-0.35
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
1540 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?
20 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?
18 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.006d ago
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$22.056d ago
- REDEEMWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$36.766d ago
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$16.5415d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$11.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$25.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$11.0022d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$23.3622d ago
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$23.7322d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$13.4028d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$15.0028d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$18.7428d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$22.3428d ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$18.4034d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$23.0034d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$22.3134d ago
- REDEEMIran leadership change by March 13?$23.1034d ago
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.5434d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$21.0047d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$20.5047d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $21.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 94d ago
- Last active
- 6d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.