Definite-Actor
0x82ef890627321c11e247f403ab01a533143180d4
Quality score
68/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$57.75
Total PnL
$-26.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
22 shares @ 45.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.60
$5.60
- YES
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
99 shares @ 10.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$11.19
$1.19
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.95
$-2.05
- NO
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?
14 shares @ 70.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.81
$-3.19
- NO
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$5.45
$-4.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$4.27
$-0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$3.61
$-1.20
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.39
$-2.61
- YES
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in April?
53 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.27
$-4.73
- YES
Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?
57 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.17
$-9.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 26?$4.0618h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?$5.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?$5.0018h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 20?$0.0020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16?$0.0020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 23?$0.0020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 19?$0.0020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 23?$0.0020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 22?$0.0020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 23?$0.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 26?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?$5.001d ago
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?$6.822d ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?$10.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 21?$12.093d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 21?$14.713d ago
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 21?$24.403d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 21?$32.063d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 21?$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 23?$10.004d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 18h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.