Hopeful-Bee
0x830b99b1f5754a554feced07281998bbb2930a93
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$122.35
Realised
$261.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
506 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$460.32
$45.29
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
500 shares @ 63.2¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$305.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
354 shares @ 23.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$303.04
$218.77
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
660 shares @ 46.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$174.90
$-134.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 77.3¢·now 86.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$173.10
$18.50
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 17.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$150.00
$-71.99
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1600 shares @ 13.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$88.00
$-121.00
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
200 shares @ 36.5¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.00
$9.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
300 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.00
$-15.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
900 shares @ 14.3¢·now 5.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$48.60
$-80.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$48.001h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$154.602h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$26.003h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$87.004h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$66.004h ago
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.707h ago
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$89.477h ago
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.237h ago
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.737h ago
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.177h ago
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.607h ago
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.197h ago
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.247h ago
- YIELD$0.0512h ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$268.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$47.001d ago
- YIELD$0.052d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.972d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.722d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$48.312d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $81.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
