Joyful-Cylinder
0x83fdc3980d58e03580eca769318eb3a8c3abd8a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?
689 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.99
- OZZY DIAZ
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cam Rowston win by KO or TKO?
9 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- TIM ELLIOTT
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jim Miller win by KO or TKO?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?$6.22Jun 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.46Jun 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?$4.15Jun 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?$1.66Jun 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?$3.03Jun 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?$4.15May 27, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?$1.44May 27, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?$0.36May 27, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$0.55May 25, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$0.67May 25, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$1.44May 25, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$2.07May 25, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$1.04May 25, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$1.04May 25, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?$2.08May 24, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.94May 24, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.81May 24, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?$8.15May 24, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?$1.04May 24, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?$5.18May 24, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.