Gleaming-Shape
0x8427936ffa09c4a197fc3d3530c5af321c5f25a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-20.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1284 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.3K
$-0.64
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
138 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$131.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.82
$0.82
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
37 shares @ 80.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.28
$6.28
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
22 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$22.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
29 shares @ 75.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.32
$-9.68
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$50.18May 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.3KMay 16, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.3KMay 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$132.26May 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$16.97May 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$21.29May 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$23.29May 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.3KMay 14, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Astralis win IEM Atlanta 2026?$16.60May 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$1.3KMay 14, 06:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$13.00May 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$21.02May 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$1.3KMay 11, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$16.46May 11, 12:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $239.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".