Prestigious-Still
0x856f3a22368a9e33aee5f45cbc11a66d4d5d2f64
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$376.94
Total PnL
$-171.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
92 shares @ 65.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.01
$11.01
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
78 shares @ 74.9¢·now 76.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$59.59
$0.98
- YES
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
97 shares @ 20.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$29.71
$9.71
- NO
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.78
$5.78
- NO
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
26 shares @ 76.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.48
$3.48
- NO
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 81.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.17
$2.17
- NO
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
23 shares @ 87.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.37
$1.37
- NO
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.01
$1.01
- NO
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Eric Adams charged by December 31?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.30
$-3.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$59.35Jul 24, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?$58.70Jul 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?$45.18Jul 21, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$20.42Jul 21, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$22.89Jul 21, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$305.74Jul 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$307.13Jul 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?$164.71Jul 15, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 14?$159.64Jul 15, 04:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.08Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 14?$144.83Jul 14, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$145.13Jul 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$144.49Jul 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$145.22Jul 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$114.11Jul 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$111.29Jul 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$897.55Jul 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?$894.20Jul 14, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $326.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.