Putrid-Aardvark
0x864a8d4bb8e6751fab9638b458cb36e4e6e69ed1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$536.76
Total PnL
$-549.70
Realised
$-56.45
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
348 shares @ 74.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$332.17
$71.86
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
415 shares @ 65.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$186.75
$-83.00
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
43 shares @ 16.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.84
$10.96
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
1327 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-172.51
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
372 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-130.20
- NO
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?
33 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.88
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?
18 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Portland" during the State of the Union address?
17 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on March 31?
2 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$59.50Apr 27, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$56.00Apr 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$543.90Apr 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$387.00Apr 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$429.14Apr 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$269.75Apr 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$528.36Apr 10, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$708.75Apr 9, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$89.96Apr 9, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$93.42Apr 7, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$708.75Apr 7, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$835.12Apr 7, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?$753.00Apr 7, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$14.40Mar 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$31.68Mar 30, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$89.44Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$83.07Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$49.92Mar 29, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$139.75Mar 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Boeing" on Truth Social this week?$920.04Mar 25, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $237.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.