Hilarious-Giant
0x868ad03973b4b49951b9b880b6819cc370113684
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$30.64
Total PnL
$-10.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethena reach $0.20 in May?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.41
$0.07
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.93
$-0.07
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$4.84
$-0.16
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 95.1¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$-0.15
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.56
$-0.44
- NO
Waymo IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$-1.29
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.34
$-1.53
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$2.31May 18, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.43May 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.20 in May?$5.35May 15, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00May 13, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.67May 13, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$6.04May 13, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?$3.33Apr 25, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$2.24Apr 20, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$5.50Apr 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.00Apr 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?$3.00Apr 16, 22:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.76Apr 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$2.0KApr 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$146.10Apr 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$1.9KApr 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$1.2KApr 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$1.5KApr 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$502.51Apr 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$145.52Apr 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$1.5KApr 13, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $508.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".