Grotesque-Tradition
0x8692b0229f9747922318c949244e50e5e880f6c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$8.81
Total PnL
$-415.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.92
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-1.10
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 10.1¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-1.47
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 18.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.33Jun 1, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$8.00Apr 12, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$2.82Apr 12, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.51Apr 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Mar 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.00Mar 22, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$2.00Mar 19, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.00Mar 14, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$3.00Mar 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$2.00Mar 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$1.15Mar 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?$2.27Mar 4, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.27Mar 4, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15.00Feb 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$15.00Feb 28, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $25.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.