Knobby-Fibroblast
0x8974543851f4a85f7e3649d20e3282a47685ad95
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$33.44
Total PnL
$-308.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
939 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.20
$7.20
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
158 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?
70 shares @ 14.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.27
$-4.73
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
190 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$-4.96
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
360 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$-11.92
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
177 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.97
$-0.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on February 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$1.90Jun 2, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.38May 10, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$10.00May 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?$10.00May 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$5.00May 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$3.00Apr 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$5.00Apr 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$2.00Apr 26, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.00Apr 26, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.00Apr 19, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?$10.00Apr 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$5.00Apr 15, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$15.00Apr 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$13.00Apr 15, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$0.00Mar 6, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$89.60Mar 6, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$64.57Mar 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$59.32Feb 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$5.00Feb 27, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".