Adventurous-Battery
0x8baf23dc6f693238f6ac4d5de1ce92cc157529e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$43.17
Total PnL
$-90.26
Realised
$5.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
27 shares @ 36.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-0.25
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1214 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.10
$-0.61
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.82
$-1.23
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-6.90
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.18
$-0.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.50May 17, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.99May 17, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$3.03May 17, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.13May 17, 10:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$2.56May 16, 09:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.98May 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.43May 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.05May 15, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.40May 15, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.26May 15, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$10.10May 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.00May 13, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$2.00May 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$2.00May 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$2.00May 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00May 13, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.07May 13, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".