Tall-Pimple
0x8c525e99e34ae1d670aca9e79e4db8fd8c20eb4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$139.49
Total PnL
$211.72
Realised
$231.78
Win rate
45%
80 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 17.3¢·now 91.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.60
$6.97
- NO
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?
735 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.25
$2.92
- NO
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
6 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.71
$0.72
- YES
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 33.3¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.25
$0.25
- NO
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
9 shares @ 48.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$5.20
$0.65
- NO
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.15
$0.17
- UNDER
O/U 2.5 Rounds
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$5.08
$3.00
- YES
3Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.03
$0.04
- NO
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 90.4¢·now 89.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.92
$-0.07
- NO
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.86
$0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for LA Galaxy next?$0.04Aug 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for LA Galaxy next?$0.04Aug 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for LA Galaxy next?$0.06Aug 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next?$0.11Aug 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.40Aug 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?$2.47Aug 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for New York City FC (NYCFC) next?$0.15Aug 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next?$0.17Aug 16, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for New York City FC (NYCFC) next?$0.11Aug 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for New York City FC (NYCFC) next?$0.05Aug 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.05Aug 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.02Aug 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.25Aug 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXochitl Gomez as America Chavez?$4.47Aug 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLDreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.54Aug 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLProbable FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.85Aug 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?$1.63Aug 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?$2.39Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?$4.58Aug 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYConcrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.18Aug 14, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 80 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
80 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 80 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.