Disguised-Discipline
0x8c69bfbeaba026b9f6129c6c0f2e2e3842b64369
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$199.53
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-52.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8534 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$140.81
$-276.39
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5045 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$58.02
$-233.83
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
3013 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-436.21
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
1013 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.19May 7, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$144.15May 7, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.95May 7, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$432.10May 7, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$436.21Apr 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$291.86Apr 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$291.86Apr 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$270.63Apr 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$270.61Apr 11, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$104.14Apr 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$104.09Apr 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$218.60Apr 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$218.67Apr 10, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$472.70Apr 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$168.00Mar 28, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$167.95Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$88.90Mar 27, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$88.89Mar 27, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $169.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".