Wobbly-Swing
0x8d9cd76052732beef0b2a49a02d8f077726a0803
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-170.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
3284 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$114.93
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
1500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.4K
$-30.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9500 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$489.25
$-14.25
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
177 shares @ 73.4¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.16
$-62.49
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
300 shares @ 14.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.65
$-14.85
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.68
$-74.32
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
13 shares @ 42.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.79
$-2.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?
340 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?
179 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$225.00Jun 11, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?$10.43Jun 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?$51.55Jun 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$100.00Jun 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$188.56Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$94.28Jun 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$1.1KJun 11, 14:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$13.35Jun 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$2.9KJun 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$60.60Jun 10, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$29.97Jun 10, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.99Jun 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.44Jun 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$70.43Jun 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.71Jun 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$300.00Jun 10, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$50.00Jun 10, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $127.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.