0x8f128fedc7f28d629d91078f08fb6df516ec456d
0x8f128fedc7f28d629d91078f08fb6df516ec456d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$51.35
Total PnL
$-4.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.60
$3.36
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$5.91
$0.85
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.51
$0.56
- NO
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.92
$0.04
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.47
$-0.52
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
6 shares @ 67.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.18
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.14
$-0.86
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.33
$-0.52
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
6 shares @ 21.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.72
$0.41
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.64
$0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?$6.94Jun 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 Week of June 15 2026?$1.36Jun 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?$4.96Jun 14, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$7.11Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?$1.08Jun 13, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 12, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.00Jun 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$4.77Jun 11, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$7.00Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.30May 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.55May 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$4.30May 27, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.00May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$9.09May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?$0.00May 19, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?$1.96May 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.50May 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?$4.96May 12, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.