0x8f9b3702b378faf4e5cfdc8bcd33074799200188
0x8f9b3702b378faf4e5cfdc8bcd33074799200188
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$49.96
Total PnL
$-360.63
Realised
$-42.44
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
35 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.19
$0.12
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.45
$-0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 89.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.69
$0.22
- YES
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 4.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.60
$0.18
- YES
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.03
$0.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 26?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 26?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 26?
554 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?
170 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.00Jun 3, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$35.36Jun 3, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?$5.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$5.00Jun 3, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$10.00Jun 3, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?$10.29Jun 3, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?$17.21Jun 3, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 26?$17.21Jun 3, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$22.32May 31, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?$28.91May 31, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$35.37May 31, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?$35.61May 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$4.15Apr 26, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$35.01Apr 26, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?$8.88Apr 26, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?$0.00Apr 26, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$17.38Apr 26, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26?$35.76Apr 26, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?$87.31Apr 26, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 26?$16.09Apr 26, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $17.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".