Shocked-Clutch
0x907e0acf654ac3f01974c8bc6ab7de60a5088a7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$384.62
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$9.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1119 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.71
$-61.29
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
87 shares @ 34.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.78
$48.37
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
216 shares @ 46.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.70
$-49.30
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.10
$-10.90
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.18
$-21.82
- YES
China coup attempt before 2027?
436 shares @ 8.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.65
$-17.74
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
379 shares @ 12.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.18
$-36.42
- YES
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
145 shares @ 13.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.13
$-9.88
- YES
NATO dissolves before 2027?
308 shares @ 9.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.15
$-21.85
- YES
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
127 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.60
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$288.66Jul 23, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$34.71Jul 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$8.64Jul 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$25.54Jul 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$66.83Jul 17, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$22.62Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$32.26Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$41.49Jul 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$40.84Jul 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$25.50Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$41.32Jul 10, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$10.16Jul 9, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$25.30Jul 9, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$10.00Jul 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$10.00Jul 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$2.60Jul 6, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$48.08Jul 6, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$25.46Jul 6, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$25.36Jul 6, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5$148.27Jul 6, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $36.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.