Dear-Acoustics
0x90f7180856b033ea45200d892a7bc49fd1662501
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$18.2K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
89%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
3231 shares @ 73.6¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$45.95
- NO
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2439 shares @ 49.3¢·now 80.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.0K
$751.68
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
2021 shares @ 85.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.8K
$31.90
- NO
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
1007 shares @ 91.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$970.50
$46.80
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
890 shares @ 73.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$769.73
$116.65
- NO
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
749 shares @ 97.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$704.45
$-23.98
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
686 shares @ 72.7¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$517.13
$18.17
- NO
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
557 shares @ 89.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$495.76
$-2.51
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
527 shares @ 87.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$477.05
$14.45
- NO
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?
574 shares @ 74.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$476.55
$46.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?$127.57Jul 29, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$301.07Jul 28, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$51.79Jul 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?$150.06Jul 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?$72.81Jul 28, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$2.2KJul 28, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$75.73Jul 28, 03:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.49Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$88.10Jul 27, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?$95.98Jul 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$295.16Jul 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?$93.40Jul 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?$57.54Jul 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.7KJul 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$136.50Jul 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$273.00Jul 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$43.00Jul 27, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$127.71Jul 27, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $246.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.