Luminous-Pineapple
0x92c92b9aa98edfe447d20243455ab1a2743d67c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$940.71
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$16.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
726 shares @ 34.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$591.30
$341.07
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$125.78
$25.78
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$77.40
$-22.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
592 shares @ 16.9¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$68.93
$-31.06
- YES
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
34 shares @ 87.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$23.20
$-6.80
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.55
$4.05
- NO
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.78
$0.78
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- YES
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$5.32
$-9.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$16.63Jul 18, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?$89.75Jul 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$104.75Jul 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$104.84Jul 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?$119.41Jul 14, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $97.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.