Narrow-Daddy
0x95e51d1771253c51000bb501a13fd78d47ed75b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.08
Total PnL
$2.03
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
12 shares @ 25.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 36.3¢·now 44.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.46
$0.46
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
9 shares @ 21.6¢·now 25.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.32
$0.32
- YES
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 32.7¢·now 30.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.11
- YES
Will Argentina win the World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?$1.02Jun 6, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.02Jun 6, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.06Jun 5, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.69Jun 4, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 31, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$0.97May 31, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$1.03May 30, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.03May 30, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.30May 30, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.02May 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.96May 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03May 24, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00May 24, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.05May 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$1.19May 18, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.01May 17, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00May 17, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.