0x95ff3e52bc8a9c4cbe1508a26b4ba4ef2889012a
0x95ff3e52bc8a9c4cbe1508a26b4ba4ef2889012a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$79.78
Total PnL
$-3.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
21 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.28
$0.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.93
$0.98
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
6 shares @ 90.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 92.7¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 86.3¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$0.22
- TREVOR SVAJDA
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 88.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer$2.02Jul 25, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$1.02Jul 25, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.03Jul 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$0.01Jul 25, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.59Jul 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.02Jul 24, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$1.59Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?$1.43Jul 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$1.02Jul 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?$1.02Jul 22, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02Jul 22, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$1.54Jul 22, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.23Jul 22, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1.03Jul 20, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.87Jul 20, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 20, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 19, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$1.14Jul 17, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.