Spirited-Ottoman
0x965549cf8a102f93ada80dc5411fcc7c4cb36fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$15.06
Total PnL
$-5.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
3 shares @ 67.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.97
$0.97
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
1 shares @ 67.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$1.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.00Feb 13, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?$1.00Feb 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Feb 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Feb 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?$1.00Feb 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$1.00Feb 13, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?$1.60Feb 13, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.61Feb 13, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.78Feb 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Dec 30, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 30, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".