0x98070e363e94af4821e605d21432feee0bfc6569
0x98070e363e94af4821e605d21432feee0bfc6569
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-125.55
Realised
$37.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1024 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$701.23
$-35.83
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
470 shares @ 29.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$237.23
$100.81
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
313 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$139.45
$20.37
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4429 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$135.07
$6.11
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
520 shares @ 17.6¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.52
$-18.06
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
2626 shares @ 10.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$64.34
$-216.78
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.23
$7.23
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
54 shares @ 93.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$52.41
$2.41
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5140 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.40
$-28.50
- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.28
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$50.14May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$50.50May 18, 07:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$3.27May 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.11May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.26May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$4.06May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$3.57May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.03May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.03May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$2.97May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$13.53May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$28.60May 17, 09:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$9.90May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 16, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".