Oblong-Cough
0x98af5de68e4195bde40a5b1242ed11ef1dea3a0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$51.26
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$199.37
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3720 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$27.90
$-1.86
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4143 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.64
$-6.35
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
5019 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-167.99
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
5010 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-131.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
4000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
4000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
2000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.74May 27, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 27, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 27, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.50May 27, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$0.00May 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 11, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$26.32May 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04May 9, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.06May 9, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 9, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$2.06May 9, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?$5.13May 9, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.12May 9, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$3.20Feb 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$23.00Feb 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$178.89Feb 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$168.00Feb 22, 21:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".