Troubled-Rations
0x9b5b4fc9fb3fd00e7ea22bdab17f2eed4cdec757
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$454.89
Total PnL
$-149.63
Realised
$0.46
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
21 shares @ 72.6¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.20
$3.21
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.82
$7.82
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
50 shares @ 30.2¢·now 34.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.93
$1.93
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.11
$1.11
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
16 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.23
$0.23
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 14, 2026$15.01
$0.01
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.92
$-0.08
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
18 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.91
$-0.09
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 29.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.84
$-10.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$10.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$10.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?$10.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$5.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$5.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.088h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$10.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$10.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$15.0010h ago
- YIELD$0.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$5.0212h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.2413h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$5.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.1113h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$14.5114h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$15.2114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$5.0215h ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$15.0115h ago
- TRADESELLWill FK Krasnodar win on 2026-05-11?$16.8116h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.0416h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
