Distorted-Snowman
0x9c5ed7617997c5856768bf17ea9e0039ea77de25
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8696 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$-130.43
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10930 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-601.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2326 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$569.77
$-430.23
- YES
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
617 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$450.62
$-49.38
- NO
Will Elaine Culotti advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
201 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$199.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1923 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$144.23
$-105.77
- NO
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
101 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$100.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
101 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$100.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
183 shares @ 54.7¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$74.93
$-25.07
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1049 shares @ 39.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.20
$-361.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.0KMay 12, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.1KMay 12, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$30.00May 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$503.80May 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Culotti advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$200.05May 12, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$100.03May 12, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$100.04May 12, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.4KMay 11, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$137.35May 10, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$9.65May 10, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$2.2KMay 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$258.70May 8, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$256.15May 8, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$307.38May 8, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $604.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".