Wallet profile

Fake-Abbreviation

0xa022ba0a68e11a78348382ff168601012d4d77f8

activity 93/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

93/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

100

Open notional

$187.2K

Total PnL

$-66.1K

Realised

$237.1K

Win rate

81%

53 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 100

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$411.8K

Trades

7

Buy share

94%

Window

May 20, 14:30 UTC → Jul 16, 01:46 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

72/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

81% win rate over 53 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

44 live trades, 12 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

53 closed markets, 81% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

94%

Sample

medium

12 ledger trades

Top market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

$229.3K · 56% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?56% of recorded volume$229.3KWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?16% of recorded volume$65.5KWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7% of recorded volume$29.8K

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry25 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
44
Avg trade size
$246.57
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 27, 01:52 UTC
Last active
Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
Win rate sample
53 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 20:54:12 UTC·src:Polymarket Data