0xa2e3de4423e0cea93f0bdeae9b2510294c21ecdf
0xa2e3de4423e0cea93f0bdeae9b2510294c21ecdf
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$21.94
Total PnL
$-8.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
13 shares @ 70.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.89
$0.61
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
15 shares @ 41.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$-0.52
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.98
$-6.02
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $335-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Google reach $400 in April?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?$10.2018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $400 in April?$1.042d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google reach $375 in April?$20.312d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $335-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $375 in April?$1.042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $375 in April?$1.042d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $212 in April?$7.793d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $212 in April?$5.145d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$5.145d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$6.128d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$5.008d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$9.2421d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.8823d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$8.1724d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$3.2024d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$0.0024d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$11.3624d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$9.2831d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$9.1431d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$2.0033d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 39d ago
- Last active
- 18h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".