Loud-Caviar
0xa47f4da1d31ead96c4d67baca2ac11a064a4571b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$39.14
Total PnL
$-27.92
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
91 shares @ 13.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.71
$-4.89
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?
106 shares @ 11.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.87
$-5.09
- NO
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?
47 shares @ 9.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.52
$-0.95
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.38
$-0.38
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
25 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.13
$-2.38
- YES
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?
45 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.70
$-0.25
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$-0.10
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
25 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.86
$0.04
- YES
Nick Fuentes federally charged?
25 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.63
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$0.20May 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$80.40May 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?$2.00May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.50May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.50May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$3.75May 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNick Fuentes arrested by June 30?$0.19May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?$1.20May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?$1.75May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$9.00May 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.16May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?$1.75May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$7.75May 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$7.75May 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNick Fuentes arrested by June 30?$0.43May 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$17.00May 17, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$0.55May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$2.25May 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$2.25May 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$4.25May 17, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".