Ecstatic-Longitude
0xa57966df81fac0d869e32336c42bca34e27aaad0
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-677.86
Realised
$-253.70
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
1694 shares @ 84.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.4K
$-12.51
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
1132 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-1.65
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1500 shares @ 66.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$772.50
$-224.60
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
400 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.21
$0.20
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
572 shares @ 61.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$317.67
$-36.17
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$183.21
$-9.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$182.19
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 76.3¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$150.80
$-1.80
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$144.00
$-26.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.50
$3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$182.43Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.06Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$7.51Jun 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular sentenced to prison?$4.88Jun 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$152.60Jun 13, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$8.08Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$65.62Jun 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$14.38Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$192.00Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$4.00Jun 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$41.17Jun 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$91.00Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$7.51Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$12.61Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$8.48Jun 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$313.90Jun 12, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$232.10Jun 12, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$178.00Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$6.83Jun 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$265.82Jun 12, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $122.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.