Exciting-Transit
0xa6ed0eba1f952980567049e465bc33dc1b347c98
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$27.85
Total PnL
$-252.88
Realised
$40.60
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
152 shares @ 37.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.60
$-32.73
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.25
$-30.75
- YES
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
1053 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
789 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
640 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
182 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$35.00May 2, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$35.98May 1, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$0.00May 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$29.00Apr 29, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$27.84Apr 29, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$45.00Apr 29, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$30.00Apr 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$50.00Apr 25, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$100.00Apr 25, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$40.00Apr 25, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$276.16Apr 25, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$196.01Apr 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$196.01Apr 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$117.61Apr 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$20.68Apr 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$20.30Apr 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$30.00Apr 15, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$84.92Apr 15, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $61.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.