Ultimate-Rumor
0xa9cf33875d94900c2c16c9c58f42e327c980c8b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-431.98
Realised
$15.97
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
6652 shares @ 10.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$831.50
$133.36
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
128 shares @ 49.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$127.44
$64.54
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
875 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$56.88
$-13.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
88 shares @ 33.5¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$39.52
$10.09
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
60 shares @ 36.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.30
$-0.40
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
30 shares @ 79.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.85
$-2.85
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.50
$0.10
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.90
$0.90
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
195 shares @ 9.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$10.72
$-8.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?
19 shares @ 36.7¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.91
$1.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$6.17May 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$7.00May 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$6.30May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$14.00May 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$8.16May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$9.69May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$5.90May 16, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$29.86May 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$11.91May 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?$1.00May 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?$1.00May 16, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?$1.00May 16, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$36.94May 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$2.18May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$0.12May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$2.00May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$5.70May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$3.06May 16, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$0.54May 16, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$1.89May 16, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".