Mammoth-Belligerency
0xab02fa5c53faa1f8ce666261bbfc23cf9000a084
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$293.37
Total PnL
$-552.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
160 shares @ 56.2¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.83
$-5.17
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.00
$-19.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.62
$-18.38
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
173 shares @ 28.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.31
$-19.69
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
392 shares @ 12.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.95
$-29.05
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
74 shares @ 40.6¢·now 21.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.98
$-14.02
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
59 shares @ 42.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.08
$-9.92
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
33 shares @ 30.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$11.61
$1.61
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
84 shares @ 17.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.97
$-7.03
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$6.38
$1.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$5.00Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$10.00Jun 8, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$112.78Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$60.00May 30, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?$0.13May 30, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00May 24, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$5.13May 24, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.17May 24, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.25May 22, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$30.00May 22, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$30.00May 22, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00May 20, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$5.00May 20, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$5.12May 20, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.12May 20, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$5.13May 20, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?$5.00May 20, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.11May 20, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$166.67May 11, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$33.90Apr 29, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $21.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.