Unnatural-Energy
0xac6a1ca423ef87d52b6baa7afb70c90229d22ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$352.67
Realised
$558.47
Win rate
87%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
1111 shares @ 85.7¢·now 88.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$988.59
$36.47
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
1078 shares @ 73.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$851.69
$59.54
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
528 shares @ 86.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$525.71
$71.28
- NO
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?
501 shares @ 85.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$451.27
$21.11
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$412.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
382 shares @ 68.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$309.58
$49.18
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
353 shares @ 64.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$194.29
$-32.85
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
250 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$173.72
$1.22
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
166 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$165.57
$8.11
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
385 shares @ 60.4¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$161.75
$-70.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$56.43Jul 29, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$9.25Jul 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$116.00Jul 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$79.31Jul 29, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$92.93Jul 29, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$2.40Jul 29, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$12.00Jul 29, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4.17Jul 29, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$4.04Jul 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$2.81Jul 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$4.47Jul 29, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$0.83Jul 29, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$9.97Jul 29, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$4.35Jul 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$16.87Jul 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$3.12Jul 29, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$217.34Jul 29, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$160.21Jul 29, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$14.73Jul 29, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$3.90Jul 29, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
46 closed markets, 87% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $43.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.