Grim-Questioner-Authenticity
0xad1bdc76a803047b5828a7a1fe98b523ba8d1d65
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
154
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-49.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- NO
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
416 shares @ 84.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$351.52
$-1.84
- NO
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
260 shares @ 89.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$226.20
$-6.38
- NO
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
185 shares @ 85.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$155.40
$-2.00
- NO
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
230 shares @ 65.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$151.80
$1.00
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
150 shares @ 89.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$131.25
$-2.75
- NO
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
162 shares @ 70.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$115.89
$1.00
- NO
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$80.75
$0.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
80 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$79.08
$0.60
- NO
Will Manuel Neuer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.29
$2.14
- YES
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?
70 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$69.27
$1.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.03Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.32Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.29Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.54Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.71Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.33Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.71Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?$100.00Jun 13, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$19.76Jun 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$46.89Jun 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.74Jun 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$7.06Jun 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the World Cup?$18.64Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.95Jun 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.95Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.03Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Jr. score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.16Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.22Jun 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.73Jun 13, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $19.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.