Austere-Test
0xadc6191b9620da87ad0d94eb01616c34bb3cb525
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$79.85
Total PnL
$5.30
Realised
$10.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
28 shares @ 36.1¢·now 63.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.72
$7.72
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
41 shares @ 24.1¢·now 26.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.93
$0.93
- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.94
$-1.06
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
545 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.27
$0.27
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
108 shares @ 7.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.78
$-2.22
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.7¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$4.86
$-5.14
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 18.2¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.69May 30, 22:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 29, 14:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.14May 26, 08:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$20.69May 24, 19:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.89May 19, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.00May 19, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.18May 19, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".