Virtuous-Skill
0xae4e83921afde64ed6d209966cc9e5234bcc3507
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$328.97
Total PnL
$-6.27
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
748 shares @ 22.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.79
$-24.30
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
136 shares @ 14.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.75
$18.75
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.29
$17.29
- NO
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
22 shares @ 91.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.57
$1.57
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.28
$1.28
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
37 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.48
$-1.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 68.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
25 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.75
$-2.75
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
27 shares @ 55.4¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.65
$-5.35
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
25 shares @ 39.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.52
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$46.77May 18, 05:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$36.93May 17, 16:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$211.39May 16, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$41.25May 16, 07:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$14.50May 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$6.70May 15, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$76.50May 15, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$11.66May 15, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$10.24May 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$20.68May 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$31.61May 15, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$11.11May 15, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$12.50May 15, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?$30.00May 15, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$46.32May 15, 10:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $39.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".