Smug-Effacement
0xaf1373e45727aeb1b13f677303f173d053da72ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$80.33
Total PnL
$-74.42
Realised
$0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
15 shares @ 73.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.68
$-2.21
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.15
$0.55
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.83
$0.33
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.10
$-0.90
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.60
$0.35
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.45
$-1.75
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.22
$-0.58
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.00
$0.65
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.92
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?$2.65May 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$3.77May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?$2.45May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$4.99May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$4.80May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$1.39May 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$1.80May 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $360 in May?$1.05May 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?$1.59May 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?$2.55May 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$3.24May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$1.33May 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$1.12May 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$3.03May 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2.99May 17, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians$10.00May 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians$6.80May 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$1.08May 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$1.80May 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$7.77May 13, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".