Pesky-Theory
0xaf4c530c68af66d40217fe69e3775b5f823dd911
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on April 23?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 28?
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on April 25?
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 28?
127 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 25?
110 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 28?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on April 25?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 1?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 28?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.20May 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$0.63May 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.03May 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)$0.71May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.84May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$0.86May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.97May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.93May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.76May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.26May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.32May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$1.76May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.98May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.00May 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$2.21May 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$2.25May 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$16.41May 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$3.03May 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$4.83May 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.64May 4, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.