Reliable-Airman
0xb04a46908c7cd7e62acbbbf08ec6e395336bacfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
53%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
1062 shares @ 56.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$684.89
$81.90
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
647 shares @ 83.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$566.06
$28.20
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
540 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$522.45
$7.65
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
652 shares @ 66.4¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$433.90
$0.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1128 shares @ 31.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$377.76
$18.12
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
420 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$373.77
$4.20
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
583 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$341.19
$-32.27
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
421 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.54
$-12.49
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
326 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$320.94
$6.83
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
381 shares @ 61.0¢·now 80.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$305.22
$72.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.62Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$12.76Jun 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$9.14Jun 14, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$5.22Jun 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.10Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$23.18Jun 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.92Jun 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$12.66Jun 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.61Jun 13, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.60Jun 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$12.14Jun 13, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$11.23Jun 13, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.44Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?$20.62Jun 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?$20.85Jun 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$44.40Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.51Jun 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.32Jun 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$1.30Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.