Poised-Circle
0xb1bc737a80a937dbb903985a1d05577391b8087d
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$197.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
571 shares @ 64.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$493.83
$126.04
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
276 shares @ 78.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$266.00
$48.90
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
430 shares @ 43.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$217.15
$29.48
- NO
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
178 shares @ 86.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$162.71
$8.66
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
105 shares @ 58.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.73
$32.30
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
94 shares @ 75.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$78.82
$7.72
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
300 shares @ 27.7¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$77.85
$-5.35
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
80 shares @ 63.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$74.66
$24.16
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
76 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$71.03
$2.52
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
102 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$66.48
$2.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.34Jun 7, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$400.34Jun 2, 20:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$52.47May 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$56.52May 30, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$45.89May 30, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.53May 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.59May 22, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.32May 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.16May 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$64.89May 22, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $35.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.